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Who’s afraid of the Broadstreet Bullies? March 15, 2010

Posted by calvin in Uncategorized.
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So I was looking at the standings this morning, and if the playoffs started today the Sabres would be playing the Flyers. I have to say, that matchup would be fine with me. I’m not scared of the Flyers.

Let’s look at their top scorers:

Jeff Carter          32-26-58
Mike Richards  26-28-54
Chris Pronger    9-40-49
Daniel Briere     24-20-44
Claude Giroux  14-27-41

Now let’s look at the top scorers for the Sabres:

Tim Connolly         15-45-60
Derek Roy               18-31-49
Jason Pominville 17-31-48
Thomas Vanek      22-22-44
Tyler Myers             9-27-36

Looks pretty balanced to me – there is no clear advantage for either team.

Now, the goaltending and goal differentials…

For the Flyers:

Michael Leighton  2.78     .907
Ray Emery               2.64      .905  (NOTE: Ray Emery is out for the season so his stats won’t be counted for my head-to-head analysis)
Brian Boucher        2.86       .896

Goal differential:  203-185= +18

For the Sabres:

Ryan Miller             2.16        .931
Patrick Lalime       3.19         .897
Jhonas Enroth       4.14         .892

Goal differential:  183-170= +13

The goaltending stats skew in the Sabres’ favor, and it’s obvious why: Ryan Miller.

If the playoffs come down to goaltending, and they often do, the Sabres have a clear advantage. As long as they play good team defense and limit the Flyers’ chances, they will win the playoff series.

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